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Module 28Optional

Module 27: Flow Metrics and Predictability

Replace velocity theatre with cycle time, work in progress, throughput and probabilistic forecasting that actually predicts a date.

11 lessons ~70 min 4 games Certificate included
This role module opens once you finish Foundations and pass its quiz. That way every learner shares the same Scrum baseline before specialising.
What you'll learn
  • Lesson 27.1: Velocity is a capacity signal, not a performance metric
  • Lesson 27.2: The four flow metrics and what each one answers
  • Lesson 27.3: Little's Law and what it actually constrains
  • Lesson 27.4: Work item age, the metric you can act on today
  • Lesson 27.5: Scatterplots, percentiles, and giving a date with confidence
  • Lesson 27.6: Monte Carlo forecasting versus story point extrapolation
Full lesson list
  • 1Lesson 27.1: Velocity is a capacity signal, not a performance metric6 min
  • 2Lesson 27.2: The four flow metrics and what each one answers6 min
  • 3Lesson 27.3: Little's Law and what it actually constrains6 min
  • 4Lesson 27.4: Work item age, the metric you can act on today6 min
  • 5Lesson 27.5: Scatterplots, percentiles, and giving a date with confidence6 min
  • 6Lesson 27.6: Monte Carlo forecasting versus story point extrapolation6 min
  • 7Lesson 27.7: Instrumenting flow without a data team, and the anti-patterns to avoid6 min
  • 8Lesson 27.8: Game - match the metric to the question it answers7 min
  • 9Lesson 27.9: Game - cycle time has been creeping up for three Sprints7 min
  • 10Lesson 27.10: Game - would this survive an executive asking 'how confident are you'7 min
  • 11Lesson 27.11: Decision lab - the VP wants a fixed date for 42 backlog items7 min
  • Flow Metrics and Predictability quizEarn certificate